Key result
The African swine fever epidemic spread across Eurasia between 2007 and 2017 at an average rate of 1.273 ± 1.272 newly infected countries per year and 4.5 ± 2.3 new regions per year in the Russian Federation.
Observational
The ASF epidemic spread at a rate of 1.273 countries/year in Eurasia and 4.5 subjects/year in the Russian Federation between 2007 and 2017, driven largely by human factors.
Results of retrospective analysis of African swine fever epidemic situation in the Russian Federation including analysis of the epidemic chronology indicating significant events of the disease spread across the country territory are presented. Common ASF epidemic trend and rate in 2007–2017 in Eurasia territory based on number of infected countries (1.273 ± 1.272 countries/year) and in Russian Federation Subjects (4.5 ± 2.3 Subjects/year) are shown. The paper also addresses some peculiarities of the epidemic process depending on the season of a year. Possible social and biological factors contributing to the epidemic spread are examined. Necessity of further search for probable biological vector and examination of social factors that could contribute to the disease maintenance in wild life and in domestic pigs in the Russian Federation and Eastern European countries are discussed.
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Oganesyan et al. (2018) conducted an observational in African swine fever. African swine fever virus (genotype II) was evaluated on Epidemic trend and rate (number of infected countries and regions per year). The African swine fever epidemic spread across Eurasia between 2007 and 2017 at an average rate of 1.273 ± 1.272 newly infected countries per year and 4.5 ± 2.3 new regions per year in the Russian Federation.
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