Key result
An artificial neural network classifier predicted 3-year survival in patients with acute myocardial infarction with 88% accuracy, 81% sensitivity, 93% specificity, and an AUC of 0.77.
Why the study?
Can an artificial neural network classifier accurately predict the risk of death in patients after acute myocardial infarction?
Observational (n=1,705)
Can an artificial neural network classifier accurately predict the risk of death in patients after acute myocardial infarction?
An artificial neural network utilizing ECG and autonomic function parameters can accurately predict 3-year mortality risk in patients following acute myocardial infarction.
Should not yet alter post-MI risk stratification; hypothesis-generating and requires prospective validation.
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are machine learning technique, inspired by the principles found in biological neurons. This technique has been used for prediction and classification problems in many areas of medical signal processing. The aim of this paper was to identify individuals with high risk of death after acute myocardial infarction using ANN. A training dataset for ANN was 1705 consecutive patients who underwent 24-hour ECG monitoring, short ECG analysis, noninvasive beat-to-beat heart-rate variability, and baroreflex sensitivity that were followed for 3 years. The proposed neural network classifier showed good performance for survival prediction: 88% accuracy, 81% sensitivity, 93% specificity, 0.85 F -measure, and area under the curve value of 0.77. These findings support the theory that patients with high sympathetic activity (reduced baroreflex sensitivity) have an increased risk of mortality independent of other risk factors and that artificial neural networks can indicate the individuals with a higher risk.
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Gligorijević et al. (2017) conducted an observational in Acute myocardial infarction (n=1,705). Artificial neural network (ANN) risk assessment was evaluated on Survival prediction (death after acute myocardial infarction). An artificial neural network classifier predicted 3-year survival in patients with acute myocardial infarction with 88% accuracy, 81% sensitivity, 93% specificity, and an AUC of 0.77.
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