Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics of Cropland Use Stability in Guangdong Province, China and Its Implications for Cropland Management

Cropland use stability is vital for sustaining the productive and ecological functions of cropland. Existing multidimensional assessment frameworks rarely distinguish between quantity change and spatial change, nor do they examine their interactions across hierarchical scales. Using annual 30 m land cover data for Guangdong Province, China (1990–2024), this study developed a two-dimensional stability framework integrating quantity and spatial indicators, using a pixel-tracking strategy applied within each five-year interval to capture interannual dynamics. Analyses were conducted at provincial, agricultural zone, and city scales. Results showed that provincial stability exhibited a fluctuating upward trajectory, with the lowest point in 2005–2009. Regional patterns diverged markedly, and city-level stability exhibited spatial heterogeneity, with pronounced disparities between high- and low-stability cities. Grade transition and quadrant analyses further revealed that quantity and spatial stability do not always move in tandem, and single-dimension assessments may provide an incomplete picture of cropland use stability. These findings suggest that incorporating both dimensions into monitoring frameworks could support more differentiated cropland management strategies.