Population-based surveillance study reveals reduced HPV16 attribution in cervical lesions among vaccinated women, demonstrating early effectiveness of adolescent HPV immunization.
All cases of invasive cervical cancer (ICC) and subsets of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or 3 (CIN2/3) and adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS) in Norway are tested for 37 human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, within a mandatory national surveillance system. We assessed the proportional attribution of HPV types in cervical lesions from predominantly unvaccinated women reported during 2017-2021 (baseline population) and the HPV type distribution by vaccination status in vaccine-eligible cases reported during 2017-2024. Among baseline CIN2/3 cases (n = 3087), 48% were attributable to HPV16/18, 28% to HPV31/33/45, 12% to HPV52/58 and 8% to other high-risk types (HPV35/39/51/56/59). For AIS (n = 550), almost all cases were attributed to HPV16/18 (91%) and HPV45 (6%). For ICC (n = 1265), 75% were attributable to HPV16/18, 15% to HPV31/33/45, 3% to HPV52/58 and 4% to other high-risk types. Among CIN2/3 cases born 1997 or later (eligible for vaccination at age 11-12 years, n = 154), HPV16-attribution was higher in unvaccinated cases (49.9%, 95% CI: 33.7-66.1) than in cases vaccinated before age 15 (1.1%, 95% CI: 0-3.4). In CIN2/3 cases born 1991-1996 (eligible for catch-up vaccination, n = 1541), HPV16-attribution was 45.7% (95% CI: 41.9-49.7) in unvaccinated versus 35.5% (95% CI: 32.5-38.6) in vaccinated cases. Minor differences by vaccination status were observed for catch-up-eligible AIS (n = 445) and ICC (n = 135) cases. In conclusion, the baseline genotype distribution in high-grade cervical lesions and ICC in Norway aligns with global data. Strong protection against HPV16-induced CIN2/3 was seen in women vaccinated before age 15 years.
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Bekkevold et al. (2026) studied this question.
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