Key result
Combining SOFA score and procalcitonin levels at 48 hours predicted short-term mortality in sepsis patients with an AUC of 0.839, which was not better than procalcitonin levels alone (AUC 0.812).
Why the study?
In critically ill patients with sepsis, risk stratification and targeted interventions are essential to improve prognosis, prompting assessment of SOFA score, serum procalcitonin levels, and their combination for short-term mortality prediction.
Does combining SOFA score with procalcitonin levels improve short-term mortality prediction in ICU patients with sepsis compared to either alone?
Observational (n=40)
Does combining SOFA score with procalcitonin levels improve short-term mortality prediction in ICU patients with sepsis compared to either alone?
Effect estimate: AUC 0.839
Combining SOFA score with procalcitonin levels at 48 hours improves short-term mortality prediction in sepsis patients compared to SOFA score alone, though it is not better than procalcitonin alone.
May support combined SOFA-PCT use for sepsis mortality prediction in ICU; hypothesis-generating and should not yet change practice.
Background: In critically ill patients with sepsis, it is essential to implement risk stratification and targeted interventions to enhance their prognosis. In the present study, we aimed to ascertain the discriminatory accuracy of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, serum procalcitonin (PCT) levels, and their combination for predicting the short-term mortality of patients with sepsis. Methodology: This prospective observational study was undertaken on 40 patients with sepsis requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission. SOFA score and PCT levels were measured at the time of ICU admission and at 48 h later. Based on these values, the delta SOFA and PCT clearance were calculated. All the patients were provided standard institutional ICU care, and they were followed up to 14 days after ICU admission. Results: We found that 21 were survivors (52.5%) and 19 (47.5%) were nonsurvivors. The area under the curve (AUC) for SOFA scores at ICU admission and at 48 h is 0.704 and 0.771, respectively, suggesting fair accuracy for mortality prediction. The PCT level at ICU admission has fair accuracy (AUC = 0.739), whereas at 48 h, it has shown improved accuracy with an AUC of 0.812. Assessment of patients at these study intervals by combining SOFA scores and PCT levels resulted in AUC of 0.704 and 0.839, respectively. Conclusion: The ability of SOFA score at 48 h after ICU admission to predict the short-term mortality of patients with sepsis is improved by combining it with PCT levels; however, the performance of this combination is not better than PCT levels alone.
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Kalra et al. (2024) conducted an observational in sepsis (n=40). SOFA score combined with procalcitonin (PCT) levels vs. SOFA score alone or PCT levels alone was evaluated on short-term mortality (14 days) (AUC 0.839). Combining SOFA score and procalcitonin levels at 48 hours predicted short-term mortality in sepsis patients with an AUC of 0.839, which was not better than procalcitonin levels alone (AUC 0.812).
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