Key result
General practitioners predicted 12-month mortality with 79% sensitivity and 61% specificity, while female sex, NYHA class III/IV, age ≥85, and cancer were significant independent predictors.
Authors
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GP predictions show moderate accuracy warranting caution in chronic illness; leaves open whether integrating identified predictors enhances prognostic models.
Cohort (n=542)
Yes
Barnes et al. (2008) conducted a cohort in heart failure (n=542). Patient characteristics and GP prognostic assessment was evaluated on mortality. General practitioners predicted 12-month mortality with 79% sensitivity and 61% specificity, while female sex, NYHA class III/IV, age ≥85, and cancer were significant independent predictors.
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