Predictors of Stroke After Minimally Invasive Mitral Valve Surgery Without the Cross-Clamp

Minimally invasive mitral valve surgery (mini-MVS) with hypothermic fibrillatory arrest has been associated with an increased risk of stroke. We aim to investigate the incidence, predictors, and outcomes of stroke in a large cohort of patient who underwent clampless mini-MVS. Between January 2008 and June 2017, we performed 1247 mini-MVSs. The clinical, operative, and postoperative outcomes were analyzed. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses were used to identify predictors of postoperative stroke. The median follow-up was 5.2 years (interquartile range 2.6-7.5). The etiology of mitral valve (MV) disease was degenerative (60.4%, n = 753), functional (12.8%, n = 160), rheumatic (8.7%, n = 109), endocarditis (3.1%, n = 39), and reoperative MV surgery (14.9%, n = 186). The overall incidence of postoperative neurologic event was 2.5% (n = 31/1247). Univariable predictors of stroke were a higher Society of Thoracic Surgeons mortality risk (6.0 ± 11.8% vs 3.3 ± 5.2%, P < 0.001), advanced age, (69.6 ± 12.1 years vs 63.0 ± 13.6 years, P = 0.002), female gender (71.0% vs 46.3%, P = 0.007), and a history of a cerebrovascular accident (22.6% vs 8.7%, P = 0.008). Stroke patients had a higher 30-day mortality (22.6% vs 1.6%, P < 0.001) and a higher risk for long-term mortality (hazard ratio = 5.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.2-9.6, P < 0.001). Advanced age (odds ratio [OR] 2.1; 95% CI 1.1-4.0; P = 0.02), female gender (OR 2.3; 95% CI 0.9-5.2; P = 0.05), and history of cerebrovascular accident (OR 3.1; 95% CI 0.98-10.1; P = 0.05) remained as independent predictors of stroke in the multivariable analysis. Our decade-long experience indicates that clampless mini-MVS is associated with a low incidence of postoperative stroke, and that the predictors of stroke are not specific to this approach.