Developments in the world of wind continue to happen at record speed. The world as a whole is in the midst of grappling with an epochal transition from a system dominated by fossil and nuclear fuel to one that relies much more heavily on renewable energy. No technology breakthroughs are required for the United States to achieve the scenario of 20% of electricity from wind by 2030. Instead, many evolutionary steps executed with technical skill, which can cumulatively result in a 30-40% improvement in the cost effectiveness of wind technology over the next few decades, are expected to occur.
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Smith et al. (2009) studied this question.
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