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September 5, 2026Land Use PolicyOpen Access

Unravelling intra-urban spatiotemporal disparities in housing price dynamics: An infrastructural approach using interpretable machine-learning methods in Shenzhen, China

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Authors

LHLirong HuSSShiliang SuSHShenjing He

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Overview

Machine-learning analysis reveals widening housing price disparities linked to public school access in urban neighborhoods, highlighting how social infrastructure drives spatial inequality.

Key Points

  • Investigate intra-urban spatiotemporal disparities in housing price dynamics and evaluate how infrastructure capitalization shapes urban housing inequalities over time.
  • Analyzed 288,570 second-hand housing transactions linked with multi-source geographic data from 2010 to 2023 in Shenzhen, China.
  • Implemented an infrastructural approach using interpretable machine-learning methods to model spatiotemporal heterogeneity and capitalization effects.
  • Identified increasingly intensified housing price disparities that are especially pronounced in school catchment areas and 15-minute infrastructure-accessible neighborhoods.
  • Found that social infrastructures, notably public schools, are more decisively and consistently associated with housing prices than physical infrastructures, structural features, or locational attributes.
  • Demonstrated marked spatiotemporal heterogeneity and increasingly salient threshold effects in how social infrastructures capitalize into real estate values.

Cite This Study

Hu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9bd4126b95aff0620eb649https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108314
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  1. 1Spatially Optimized Multi-Level Modeling of Housing Price Differentiation and Resource Allocation Strategies2026
  2. 2Tenure inequality, public facilities and housing prices: Evidence from Shenzhen, China2024 · 1 citations
  3. 3Human capital agglomeration, urbanisation and housing prices in China: evidence from quantile regression2026
  4. 4Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Forces of Housing Price Differentiation in Qingdao, China: Insights from LISA Path and GTWR Models2025
  5. 5Nonlinear and Spatial Effects of Housing Prices on Urban–Rural Income Inequality: Evidence from Dynamic Spatial Threshold Models in Mainland China2025