Causes of Late Renal Allograft Failure in the Ciclosporin Era

A single center experience of 514 ciclosporin-treated renal allografts which survived longer than 1 year was reviewed in order to analyze the causes of renal allograft loss beyond the 1st year post-transplantation and the contribution of selected parameters to long-term survival. 83 grafts were lost between 1 and 5 years with the most common causes of graft loss being chronic rejection (54%), death (14%), noncompliance (13%) and sepsis (11%). Actuarial 5-year graft survival rates, decaying from 100% at 1 year, of living related and cadaveric grafts were 88.6 and 79.5%, respectively. Parameters with a substantial influence on long-term survival included the quality of early graft function and incidence of acute rejection in the 1st year post-transplantation. A marker for long-term survival (> 5 years) was a significantly lower serum creatinine (177 mumol/l; < or = 2 mg/dl) at 1 year. We conclude that chronic rejection is responsible for the majority of late graft losses in the ciclosporin era as in the earlier azathioprine period.