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September 8, 2026Clinical ToxicologyOpen Access

Predicting SILENT after lithium poisoning: a multicenter cohort study and pragmatic risk stratification model

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Authors

ÁPÁlvaro Pineda-TorcuatoHospital Universitario Puerta de Hierro MajadahondaACAntonio F Caballero-BermejoUniversidad NebrijaASAugust SupervíaUniversidad Mayor de San Andrés

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Implication

Multicenter cohort study reveals irreversible neurotoxicity in 7.6% of lithium poisoning cases, indicating routine clinical markers predict long-term risk better than blood lithium levels.

Key Points

  • To determine the incidence, clinical risk factors, and prognostic indicators of the Syndrome of Irreversible Lithium-Effectuated Neurotoxicity (SILENT) following acute or chronic lithium poisoning.
  • Retrospective, international, multicenter cohort study analyzing 644 adult episodes evaluated for lithium poisoning across 23 tertiary hospitals in Spain, Ireland, and Switzerland (2015–2022).
  • Defined the primary outcome, SILENT, as persistent neurological sequelae attributed to lithium toxicity documented at 60 days post-exposure.
  • Developed a parsimonious multivariable logistic regression model using routinely available clinical variables, assessed through ROC analysis and internal split-sample validation (n=456).
  • SILENT was identified in 49 of 644 episodes (7.6%), occurring more frequently in older patients with acute-on-chronic poisoning, early neurological features (ataxia and myoclonus), higher Poisoning Severity Scores, and elevated peak urea.
  • Serum lithium concentrations at presentation showed no significant association with the development of SILENT.
  • The clinical prediction model demonstrated good discrimination (AUC 0.813; 95% CI 0.743–0.882) and acceptable internal validation (AUC 0.730; 95% CI 0.572–0.888), with a sensitive cutoff (P ≥ 0.0475) achieving a 98.2% negative predictive value.

Cite This Study

Pineda-Torcuato et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9fd7ab58e84d0ff5b46814https://doi.org/10.1080/15563650.2026.2693677
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Variability in the Management of Lithium Poisoning2014 · 18 citations
  2. 2Irreversible Lithium Neurotoxicity1997 · 87 citations
  3. 3Long‐lasting neurological sequelae after lithium intoxication1984 · 133 citations
  4. 4A reappraisal of the role of fever in the occurrence of neurological sequelae following lithium intoxication: a systematic review2021 · 14 citations
  5. 5Haemodialysis for lithium poisoning: Translating EXTRIP recommendations into practical guidelines2020 · 30 citations