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September 8, 2026Journal of Thrombosis and ThrombolysisOpen Access

Dabigatran use and cerebrovascular event risk across body mass index in atrial fibrillation: a real-world nested case–control study

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Why the study?

Dabigatran is widely used for stroke prevention in AF, but concerns remain regarding its effectiveness in patients with Class III obesity.

Does dabigatran use reduce incident ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack in patients with atrial fibrillation across different BMI categories?

Population

1,854 patients with AF (295 cases, 1,559 controls) in New Zealand

Comparison

Dabigatran use vs non-use across BMI categories

Design

Retrospective nested case-control study

Key result

Dabigatran use was associated with a 50% lower odds of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack compared to no oral anticoagulant in patients with atrial fibrillation (aOR 0.50).

Authors

KMKarim MahawishVFValery L. FeiginPBP. Alan Barber

Discussion

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Overview

Dabigatran was associated with lower IS/TIA odds across BMI; leaves open efficacy in class III obesity pending randomized data.

Key Points

  • To evaluate the association between dabigatran use and ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack across body mass index categories in patients with atrial fibrillation.
  • Conducted a retrospective nested case–control study of 1,854 patients with atrial fibrillation (295 incident ischaemic stroke/TIA cases from the Auckland Regional Community Stroke Study and 1,559 controls from the National Minimum Dataset).
  • Evaluated dabigatran exposure and assessed effect modification across BMI tiers (<30, 30–39.9, and ≥40 kg/m²) using multivariable logistic regression interaction terms.
  • Dabigatran use overall was associated with significantly reduced odds of ischaemic stroke or TIA (aOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.38–0.68).
  • Effect modification by BMI category was not statistically significant (p-interaction = 0.49), showing similar risk reductions in patients with BMI <30 and 30–39.9 kg/m².
  • In Class III obesity (BMI ≥40 kg/m²), the point estimate shifted toward the null and was imprecise, meaning clinically important attenuation could not be excluded.

Study Design

Type

Case-Control (n=1,854)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does dabigatran use reduce incident ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack in patients with atrial fibrillation across different BMI categories?

P
Population
1,854 adult patients with atrial fibrillation, including 295 with incident ischemic stroke or TIA and 1,559 event-free controls, evaluated for the association between dabigatran use and cerebrovascular events across BMI categories.
E
Exposure
Dabigatran use
C
Comparator
No dabigatran use
O
Outcome
Incident ischaemic stroke (IS) or transient ischaemic attack (TIA)hard clinical

Main Result

Odds Ratio: 0.5 (95% CI 0.38–0.68)

p-value: p=<0.001

Dabigatran use is associated with a 50% reduction in the odds of ischemic stroke or TIA in patients with atrial fibrillation, with no significant effect modification by BMI, although efficacy in Class III obesity remains uncertain.

Limitations

  • Case-control design precludes causal inference and residual confounding cannot be excluded.
  • Adherence derived from dispensing data may not fully reflect actual medication use.
  • Limited statistical power in patients with Class III obesity (BMI ≥40 kg/m2) due to small sample size.
  • BMI does not fully capture adiposity or fat distribution and may misclassify risk across ethnic groups.
  • Use of non-anticoagulated patients as the reference group may introduce confounding by indication and healthy-user or frailty-related bias.
  • Could not distinguish new users from prevalent users due to lack of historical dispensing data.
  • Limited power in patients with BMI ≥40 kg/m2
  • Clinically important attenuation in Class III obesity could not be excluded

Cite This Study

Mahawish et al. (2026) conducted a case-control in Atrial fibrillation (n=1,854). Dabigatran vs. No oral anticoagulant was evaluated on Ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack (IS/TIA) (aOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.38-0.68, p=<0.001). Dabigatran use was associated with a 50% lower odds of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack compared to no oral anticoagulant in patients with atrial fibrillation (aOR 0.50).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9fd82058e84d0ff5b47698https://doi.org/10.1007/s11239-026-03394-1
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Association between body mass index and the risk of bleeding in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation taking dabigatran: a cohort study.2020 · 5 citations
  2. 2Body Mass Index Influence on the Clinical Outcomes for Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Patients Admitted to a Hospital Treated with Direct Oral Anticoagulants: A Retrospective Cohort Study2021 · 12 citations
  3. 3Relationship between body mass index and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with edoxaban or warfarin in the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial2018 · 135 citations
  4. 4Association of body mass index with arrhythmia progression and outcomes in patients with subclinical atrial fibrillation: insights from the ARTESiA trial2026
  5. 5Efficacy and Safety of Direct Oral Anticoagulants for Atrial Fibrillation Across Body Mass Index Categories2020 · 14 citations