Vascular Calcification Progression Is an Independent Predictor of Mortality in Patients on Haemodialysis

BACKGROUND: We previously reported that vascular calcification (VC) score was associated with mortality in patients on haemodialysis (HD) and that a high serum level of parathyroid hormone (PTH) and fibroblast growth factor (FGF)-23 were the only factors associated with VC progression. AIM: To assess the impact of VC progression on HD patient survival. METHODS: The study cohort including 85 HD patients studied between 2006 and 2007 and between 2009 and 2010 was divided into patients with VC progression (PG+, n = 38) and no-progression (PG-, n = 47), based on VC scores measured twice at 3-year intervals (VC1 and VC2). Patients were followed during 3 additional years. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier analysis determined that PG+ displayed increased mortality (hazard ratio (HR): 2.4; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.12-4.8; p = 0.03). This result was confirmed using a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for age, dialysis duration, the VC1 score, and the mean FGF-23 and iPTH serum levels (HR: 2.7; 95% CI: 1.12-6.6; p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: VC progression is associated with poor survival in patients on HD, irrespective of a patient's baseline VC score.