Key result
XGBoost model combining chest X-rays and clinical data predicts severe preterm PDA with 0.74 AUC.
Why the study?
Echocardiography for diagnosing PDA in preterm infants requires skilled specialists and is not always available, prompting the need to objectively define PDA-associated chest X-ray features using deep learning.
Can a deep learning model using chest X-ray features and clinical data accurately predict the presence of severe patent ductus arteriosus in preterm infants?
Observational (n=4,617)
No
Can a deep learning model using chest X-ray features and clinical data accurately predict the presence of severe patent ductus arteriosus in preterm infants?
Effect estimate: AUC 0.74
Absolute Event Rate: 0.74% vs 0.67%
Deep learning-extracted radiographic features from chest X-rays, combined with clinical data, can serve as a highly specific auxiliary tool for the early detection of severe patent ductus arteriosus in preterm infants when echocardiography is unavailable.
CXR features may aid PDA screening where echocardiography is unavailable; leaves open clinical utility pending prospective validation.
Echocardiography is the gold standard of diagnosis and evaluation of patent ductus arteriosus (PDA), a common condition among preterm infants that can cause hemodynamic abnormalities and increased mortality rates, but this technique requires a skilled specialist and is not always available. Meanwhile, chest X-ray (CXR) imaging is also known to exhibit signs of PDA and is a routine imaging modality in neonatal intensive care units. In this study, we aim to find and objectively define CXR image features that are associated with PDA by training and visually analyzing a deep learning model. We first collected 4617 echocardiograms from neonatal intensive care unit patients and 17,448 CXR images that were taken 4 days before to 3 days after the echocardiograms were obtained. We trained a deep learning model to predict the presence of severe PDA using the CXR images, and then visualized the model using GradCAM++ to identify the regions of the CXR images important for the model's prediction. The visualization results showed that the model focused on the regions around the upper thorax, lower left heart, and lower right lung. Based on these results, we hypothesized and evaluated three radiographic features of PDA: cardiothoracic ratio, upper heart width to maximum heart width ratio, and upper heart width to thorax width ratio. We then trained an XGBoost model to predict the presence of severe PDA using these radiographic features combined with clinical features. The model achieved an AUC of 0.74, with a high specificity of 0.94. Our study suggests that the proposed radiographic features of CXR images can be used as an auxiliary tool to predict the presence of PDA in preterm infants. This can be useful for the early detection of PDA in neonatal intensive care units in cases where echocardiography is not available.
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Chang et al. (2024) conducted an observational in Patent ductus arteriosus (n=4,617). Radiographic features from chest X-ray combined with clinical data vs. Clinical data alone was evaluated on Prediction of severe patent ductus arteriosus (AUC) (AUC 0.74). An XGBoost model combining three chest X-ray radiographic features with clinical data predicted severe patent ductus arteriosus in preterm infants with an AUC of 0.74 and specificity of 0.94.
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