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September 14, 2026International Journal of Construction Management

Construction-to-lifecycle risk intelligence: a noise-robust Physics-Informed Temporal Graph Transformer and Bayesian Markov-Switching sample-selection framework for reinforcement and repair decisions

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Authors

ASAli ShehadehOAOdey AlshboulHNHamsa Nimer

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Overview

Computational framework demonstrates accurate reinforcement classification and repair prioritization in infrastructure lifecycles, indicating robust decision support under operational uncertainty.

Key Points

  • Develop a construction-to-lifecycle risk intelligence framework to optimize sequential decisions for structural reinforcement during execution and repair prioritization during operations under incomplete data and operational constraints.
  • Integrated a Physics-Informed Temporal Graph Transformer (PITGT) with contrastive noise filtering to capture spatial, temporal, and network dependencies while decoupling true structural needs from financially distorted maintenance logs.
  • Combined uncertainty-aware ensemble learning with a hierarchical Bayesian Markov-switching sample-selection econometric model to estimate latent deterioration regimes, time-varying repair thresholds, and project heterogeneity.
  • Achieved a 93.8% classification accuracy for four-level reinforcement recommendations and a macro-F1 score of 0.921.
  • Demonstrated robust dynamic performance with a transition-event F1 score of 0.816 and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.956 for probabilistic repair urgency.

Cite This Study

Shehadeh et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa7b3bf0926e14a848b2e5dhttps://doi.org/10.1080/15623599.2026.2721502
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