The Prevalence and Molecular Landscape of Lynch Syndrome in the Affected and General Population

BACKGROUND: Lynch syndrome (LS) is the most frequent genetically pre-disposed colorectal cancer (CRC) syndrome, accounting for 2-3% of all CRC cases. In Estonia, ~1000 new cases are diagnosed each year. This retroactive and prospective study aimed to estimate the prevalence of LS and describe disease-causing variants in mismatch repair (MMR) genes in a diagnostic setting and in the Estonian general population. METHODS: LS data for the diagnostic cohort were gathered from 2012 to 2022 and data for the general population were acquired from the Estonian Biobank (EstBB). Furthermore, we conducted a pilot study to estimate the improvement of LS diagnostic yield by raising the age limit to >50 years for immunohistochemistry analysis of MMR genes. RESULTS: We estimated LS live birth prevalence between 1930 and 2003 in Estonia at 1:8638 (95% CI: 1: 9859-7588). During the study period, we gathered 181 LS individuals. We saw almost a six-fold increase in case prevalence, probably deriving from better health awareness, improved diagnostic possibilities and the implementation of MMR IHC testing in a broader age group. In the MMR IHC pilot study, 29% had LS.