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September 17, 2026International Journal of Clinical OncologyOpen Access

Distinct risk profiles of heart failure and non-heart failure major adverse cardiovascular events among patients with early breast cancer: a competing-risk analysis

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Population

1,328 patients with non-metastatic breast cancer who underwent curative surgery at a tertiary center during…

Design

Cohort

Follow-up

median 7.7 years

Key result

Anthracycline use (sHR 2.67) and trastuzumab use (sHR 2.52) were independently associated with an increased risk of heart failure among patients with early breast cancer.

Authors

HSHideo ShigematsuANAtsuyoshi NorishigeKTKazuaki Tanabe

Discussion

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Overview

Anthracycline- and trastuzumab-associated heart failure risk warrants vigilance in early breast cancer; leaves open optimal prevention beyond current monitoring.

Key Points

  • To assess the cumulative incidence and distinct risk factors for heart failure compared with other major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with early breast cancer.
  • Retrospective cohort study of 1,328 patients with non-metastatic breast cancer who underwent curative surgery at a tertiary center between 2010 and 2019, followed for a median of 7.7 years.
  • Cumulative incidence was calculated using the cumulative incidence function, and risk predictors were evaluated via Fine-Gray competing-risk regression models with cancer recurrence and non-cardiovascular death as competing events.
  • Heart failure occurred in 24 of 1,328 patients (1.8%) and was independently associated with anthracycline use (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 2.67; 95% CI, 1.08–6.65; p = 0.034) and trastuzumab use (sHR 2.52; 95% CI, 1.00–6.33; p = 0.050).
  • Other major adverse cardiovascular events occurred in 38 of 1,328 patients (2.9%) and were significantly associated with age over 65 years (sHR 3.75; 95% CI, 1.59–8.88; p = 0.003) and preexisting cardiovascular risk factors (sHR 4.02; 95% CI, 1.77–9.10; p < 0.001).

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=1,328)

Multicenter

No

Structured PICO

P
Population
1,328 patients with early non-metastatic breast cancer undergoing curative surgery, free of prior cardiovascular disease, followed for a median of 7.7 years.
O
Outcome
Heart failure and other major adverse cardiovascular events (stroke, atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction, or cardiovascular death)composite

Main Result

Hazard Ratio: 2.67 (95% CI 1.08–6.65)

p-value: p=0.034

In patients with early breast cancer, heart failure is primarily driven by cardiotoxic therapies like anthracyclines and trastuzumab, while other major adverse cardiovascular events are driven by traditional cardiovascular risk factors and older age.

Limitations

  • Retrospective, single-center design might have limited the generalizability of the findings.
  • Cardiovascular events were identified based on medical records without formal event adjudication, which might have resulted in misclassification.
  • Few cardiovascular events occurred, restricting multivariable models and raising the possibility of model overfitting.

Cite This Study

Shigematsu et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Early breast cancer (n=1,328). Anthracycline use vs. No anthracycline use was evaluated on Heart failure (sHR 2.67, 95% CI 1.08-6.65, p=0.034). Anthracycline use (sHR 2.67) and trastuzumab use (sHR 2.52) were independently associated with an increased risk of heart failure among patients with early breast cancer.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aabb7975f706d05830e6c18https://doi.org/10.1007/s10147-026-03200-1
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Risk of Heart Failure in Breast Cancer Patients After Anthracycline and Trastuzumab Treatment: A Retrospective Cohort Study2012 · 573 citations
  2. 2Congestive heart failure in patients treated with doxorubicin2003 · 2,327 citations
  3. 3Atrial fibrillation in cancer survivors – a systematic review and meta-analysis2023 · 17 citations
  4. 4Cardiovascular adverse events and prognosis in patients with haematologic malignancies and breast cancer receiving anticancer agents: Kurume-CREO Registry insights2023 · 15 citations
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