Key result
High NT-proBNP linked to ~284% greater in-hospital death risk in COVID-19 patients.
Why the study?
NT-proBNP was identified as a potentially independent risk factor for in-hospital death in COVID-19 patients, but optimal cut points for risk stratification were not established.
Does elevated NT-proBNP predict in-hospital death in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 without heart failure?
Cohort (n=272)
Yes
Does elevated NT-proBNP predict in-hospital death in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 without heart failure?
Hazard Ratio: 3.84 (95% CI 1.3–11.57)
Absolute Event Rate: 48.8% vs 8.3%
p-value: p=0.01
Elevated NT-proBNP is a strong prognostic indicator of in-hospital death in hospitalized COVID-19 patients without heart failure.
New NT-proBNP cutoffs may refine COVID-19 mortality prediction; leaves open whether they outperform standards or alter care without validation.
BACKGROUND: COVID19 patients may suffer from multiple cardiovascular complications. Recently, N-terminal of the prohormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was a potentially independent risk factor for COVID-19 in-hospital death. The present study aimed to find new optimal cut points for NT-proBNP across censored survival failure time outcomes in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. RESULTS: This cohort study was conducted on 272 patients with COVID-19 whose initial records were recorded from March 2020 to July 2020. Demographic characteristics, clinical examinations, and laboratory measurements were collected at the beginning of the admission registered in the patient record system located in the hospital. We used the maximally selected rank statistics to determine the optimal cut points for NT-proBNP (the most significant split based on the standardized log-rank test). Survival time was defined as the days from hospital admission to discharge day. In this cohort study, two optimal cut points for NT-proBNP were 331 (pg/mL) and 11,126 (pg/mL) based on a survival model. The adjusted HR of NT-proBNP for in-hospital death was 3.41 (95% CI: 1.22-9.51, P = 0.02) for medium against low category, and 3.84 (95% CI: 1.30-11.57, P = 0.01) for high in comparison with low group. CONCLUSIONS: We reported a dramatically increased concentration of NT-proBNP among COVID-19 patients without heart failure in both severe and non-severe cases. Moreover, our study showed that a high level of NT-proBNP was highly associated with the prolonged survival time of patients with COVID-19. NT-proBNP is a strong prognostic indicator of in-hospital death in the second week of admission.
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Chehrazi et al. (2022) conducted a cohort in COVID-19 (n=272). High NT-proBNP (>11,126 pg/mL) vs. Low NT-proBNP (≤331 pg/mL) was evaluated on In-hospital death (HR 3.84, 95% CI 1.30-11.57, p=0.01). High levels of NT-proBNP (>11,126 pg/mL) were significantly associated with an increased risk of in-hospital death compared to low levels (≤331 pg/mL) in COVID-19 patients (HR 3.84).
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