Diabetes Risk and Associations With Demographic and Behavioral Factors in Russian Population: Data From the Esse-Rf Study

Aim. To evaluate 10-year risk of potential development of type 2 diabetes (DM) in Russian population with the FINDRISC score, and to assess its associations with social, demographic and behavioral factors by the data from epidemiological study ESSE-RF. Material and methods. In the work, the data used, from multi-center study (Epidemiology of cardiovascular diseases in various regions of Russian Federation: ESSE-RF). Totally, 21923 persons investigated, age 25-64 y.o., of those 1045 (3,76% males, 5,39% females) had DM. To the final analysis 20878 persons included (8058 males, 12820 females) with no DM, for whom the 10-year risk was assessed with the FINDRISC (The FINnish Diabetes RIsk SCore). Level of risk and probability of DM onset were evaluated by the points summation. Also, associations were analyzed with education, marital status, place of inhabitance, income, smoking and alcohol status. Results. The threshold for high DM risk in Russian population was set at ≥12 level, with AUC 0,76, that represents good quality of model. The prevalence of the high risk by Russian criteria was 20,4%. Multifactorial analysis demonstrated that after correction for region and age, DM high risk was associated with smoking cessation (odds ratio (OR) 1,34; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1,14-1,58; р=0,0004) and alcohol consumption (OR 2,01; 95% CI 1,48-2,71; р=0,0001), and in women — with low income, low educational level and being married. Conclusion. Mean score by FINDRISC was 6,5±0,03, and absolute risk 5,3%. There were associations found of higher DM risk (≥12 points) with behavioral factors in males and social-demographic factors in women.