Key result
High myocardial ECV linked to ~81% higher risk of death, ICD therapy, or transplantation.
Why the study?
Left ventricular myocardial extracellular volume from CMR T1 mapping reflects diffuse fibrosis and its prognostic value beyond established variables in HCM was unclear.
Does higher myocardial extracellular volume (ECV) predict adverse outcomes in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and preserved LVEF?
Cohort (n=1,050)
Does higher myocardial extracellular volume (ECV) predict adverse outcomes in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and preserved LVEF?
Hazard Ratio: 1.81 (95% CI 1.24–2.64)
p-value: p=<0.001
Myocardial extracellular volume (ECV) assessed by CMR is an independent predictor of long-term adverse outcomes in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and preserved LVEF.
ECV may refine risk stratification in preserved-EF HCM beyond standard variables; leaves open whether it alters management or warrants prospective trials.
BACKGROUND: Left ventricular (LV) myocardial extracellular volume (ECV), from cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) T1 mapping, primarily reflects diffuse fibrosis and is a marker of adverse myocardial remodeling in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to evaluate the prognostic value of ECV beyond established clinical and imaging variables in a large contemporary HCM cohort. METHODS: We evaluated 1,050 consecutive patients with HCM and preserved LV ejection fraction (≥50%) who underwent CMR, including quantification of ECV (%) and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) burden (% LV mass, >6 SDs above remote myocardium), between 2012 and 2021. The primary endpoint was a composite of mortality, appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy, or heart transplantation. Statistical methods included multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression, restricted cubic spline analysis, assessment of incremental discrimination using changes in the C-statistic, and net reclassification improvement analysis. RESULTS: Median age was 60 years (IQR: 49-68 years) with 44% women. Median follow-up was 5.6 years (IQR: 2.5-7.8 years). The primary endpoint occurred in 124 patients (11.8%), including 111 deaths (10.6%), 12 appropriate ICD discharges (1.1%), and 1 heart transplantation (0.1%). In multivariable Cox regression, older age (HR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.03-1.06; P < 0.001), NYHA functional class ≥II (HR: 1.96, 95% CI: 1.23-3.11; P = 0.004), diabetes mellitus (HR: 1.89, 95% CI: 1.27-2.81; P = 0.002), and higher ECV (HR: 1.05 per 1% increase, 95% CI: 1.02-1.09; P = 0.001) were independently associated with the primary outcome. Patients with ECV ≥32% had lower event-free survival than those with ECV <32% (adjusted HR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.24-2.64; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Myocardial ECV was independently associated with long-term adverse outcomes. Multiparametric CMR assessment may improve risk stratification in HCM.
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Keen et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (n=1,050). Higher myocardial extracellular volume (ECV ≥32%) vs. Lower myocardial extracellular volume (ECV <32%) was evaluated on Composite of mortality, appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy, or heart transplantation (HR 1.81, 95% CI 1.24-2.64, p=<0.001). Higher myocardial extracellular volume (≥32%) was independently associated with a higher risk of mortality, appropriate ICD therapy, or heart transplantation (adjusted HR 1.81; 95% CI 1.24-2.64; P<0.001).
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