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Background Not all non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients benefit from chemotherapy when added to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). We used comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) coupled with a computational biology model (Cellworks) to create an algorithm to identify patients who may benefit from adding chemotherapy to ICI (ICI+C). Patients and Methods The algorithm (Therapy Response Index, or TRI) was trained in a retrospective cohort of 553 NSCLC patients from the U.S. Veteran's Health Administration (VHA) system who received CGP. The TRI, computational model and clinical threshold were locked and validated in 710 advanced NSCLC front-line patients receiving either ICI or ICI+C, obtained from the Flatiron Health-Foundation Medicine NSCLC clinico-genomic database. Results The classifier was significantly associated with OS in a multivariate analysis. (LR p = 0.0355). Patients with a low TRI (TRI ≤ 32) received an estimated incremental benefit in median OS of ∼ 3 months with ICI+C (LR p = 0.04). In contrast, patients with a high TRI (TRI > 32) showed no improvement in median OS when receiving ICI+C. A statistical test of interaction between TRI and chemotherapy met pre-specified criteria of p < 0.25 (LR p = 0.1361), suggesting that TRI may be predictive of chemotherapy benefit. Conclusions TRI was predictive of OS and incremental chemotherapy benefit in patients with NSCLC receiving ICI or ICI+C. These results support the use of the classifier to identify patients who may benefit from ICI+C and those unlikely to respond to ICI alone, independent of PD-L1 levels. Micro abstract As no good biomarkers exist to identify patients that might benefit from frontline use of immune checkpoint inhibitors plus chemotherapy (ICI+C), we used c omprehensive genomic profiling data coupled with a mechanistically-based computational model to develop a classifier to predict ICI+C benefit. In an independent, real-world validation set of 710 patients with advanced NSCLC, patients with a predicted ICI+C benefit realized a 3 month increase in median overall survival when receiving ICI+C versus ICI alone. Such an approach may be eventually useful in identifying ICI+C benefit in patients with advanced NSCLC.
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Klein et al. (2025) studied this question.
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