Key result
A CNN-based KCCQ-SCD score predicts ~5.7-fold higher SCD risk in HFpEF.
Why the study?
Sudden cardiac death is the most frequent cause of mortality in HFpEF, but the ability of the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire to predict SCD remains unclear.
Does a machine learning model incorporating age, sex, and KCCQ scores predict sudden cardiac death in patients with HFpEF?
Observational (n=3,445)
Does a machine learning model incorporating age, sex, and KCCQ scores predict sudden cardiac death in patients with HFpEF?
Hazard Ratio: 5.69 (95% CI 1.92–16.81)
A CNN-based machine learning model using age, sex, and patient-reported KCCQ scores provides a simple and accurate tool for stratifying the risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with HFpEF.
May aid SCD risk stratification in HFpEF; hypothesis-generating, requiring prospective validation before clinical use.
Background Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is the most frequent cause of mortality in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). While the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) assesses disease severity in HFpEF, its ability to predict SCD remains unclear. We aimed to develop a machine learning model to stratify the risk of SCD in HFpEF using patients' reported quality of life scores. Methods Using data from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist trial, we developed six models (convolutional neural network [CNN], logistic regression, LASSO‐regularized logistic regression, random forest, gradient boosting, and K‐nearest neighbors) to predict SCD in HFpEF, using age, sex, and the KCCQ score. Results Among 3445 patients (mean age: 69.1 years, 48.5% men), 111 experienced SCD over a mean follow‐up of 3.37 years. The CNN model outperformed the other models, with a C‐statistic of 0.74 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.65–0.83), followed by the logistic regression model (0.66, 95% CI: 0.56–0.76), XGBoost (0.65, 95% CI: 0.56–0.75), Light‐GBM (0.62, 95% CI: 0.51–0.74), random forest (0.54, 95% CI: 0.41–0.66), and K‐nearest neighbors (0.54, 95% CI: 0.43–0.64). The total symptom score, social limitation score, self‐efficacy score, and overall summary score were ranked as the most important variables. The KCCQ‐SCD score was associated with a fivefold higher risk of SCD (hazard ratio: 5.69, 95% CI: 1.92–16.81). An online tool to implement the CNN model is available at https://huggingface.co/spaces/KCCQ/KCCQ_SCD_Predictor . Conclusions A CNN‐based machine learning model incorporating age, sex, and KCCQ scores provides a simple and accurate tool for stratifying the risk of SCD in patients with HFpEF. External validation in more diverse populations and real‐world clinical settings is essential before the KCCQ‐SCD score is used for broad clinical applications.
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Liu et al. (2026) conducted an observational in Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) (n=3,445). KCCQ-SCD score was evaluated on Sudden cardiac death (SCD) (HR 5.69, 95% CI 1.92-16.81). A CNN-based KCCQ-SCD score incorporating age, sex, and KCCQ scores predicted sudden cardiac death in patients with HFpEF (C-statistic 0.74; HR 5.69, 95% CI 1.92-16.81).
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