IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Phase distance MODERATE (5-10deg) — improves win rate from 31.3% to 32.7% (+1.4pp, n=165) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Over the current 10-trade window, applying the MODERATE phase-distance filter (5–10°) would have excluded trades entering outside that band. Based on the backtest delta (+1.4pp win rate), roughly 1–2 of the 10 trades would likely be filtered out — most plausibly the two XAUUSD SHORT losses (entries at 4048.74 and 4051.79) if their phase distances fell outside 5–10°. If both losses were removed, the window's win rate would jump from 6/10 (60%) to 6/8 (75%), and PnL would improve by the sum of those two losses (likely +2R to +3R). However, if the filter also removes a winner (e.g., the GBPUSD SHORT at 1.34461), the net gain could shrink to +0.5–1.0R. The REJECTED USDCHF trade remains unaffected as it was already blocked. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a +1.4pp win-rate improvement on ~ Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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