Key result
High-risk health profile in men linked to ~2.1-fold higher long-term CVD incidence.
Why the study?
The ability of a combined health profile of lifestyle factors and biological risk markers at age 33-42 to predict long-term incidence of CVD and cancer was studied.
Cohort (n=757)
No
Odds Ratio: 2.1 (95% CI 1.21–3.64)
Absolute Event Rate: 14% vs 7.2%
Baseline high-risk profiles predict elevated 24-year CVD incidence in men; extends risk stratification evidence but leaves intervention effects open.
Objective: To study changes in lifestyle and biological risk markers in a 24-year follow-up study, and occurrences of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), cancer and total mortality from official registers. Design: A 24-year follow-up survey and register study of a cohort of men 33 - 42 years old, examined with a health profile at baseline. With the health profile based on lifestyle, biological risk markers, self-rated mental stress and mental health, the men were separated in different risk groups. Setting: Primary health care center of Habo in Sweden. Subjects: All 757 men, 33 - 42 years old, and living in the community of Habo in Sweden in 1985. Main Outcome Measures: Lifestyle, biological risk markers, morbidity from CVD and cancer, and total mortality. Results: Smoking and physical activity decreased during follow-up time while alcohol consumption increased. Biological risk markers, except diastolic blood pressure, deteriorated significantly with age. Based on three- lifestyle groups, 16 % of the men had a more favorable lifestyle and 19% had a less favorable life-style at follow-up compared with baseline. The men, who had been classified as high-risk, based on the health profile at baseline, had a significantly higher incidence of CVD and cancer in the register study compared to men in a low-risk group. The baseline non-participant group had a significantly higher incidence of CVD and a higher mortality compared to the low-risk group. Conclusion: A health profile with a combination of lifestyle factors and biological risk markers can already at the age of 33 - 42 years predict incidence of CVD and cancer on group level among men after 24 years.
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Persson et al. (2015) conducted a cohort in Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer Risk (n=757). High-risk health profile vs. Low-risk health profile was evaluated on Cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence (OR 2.1, 95% CI 1.21-3.64). Men classified as high-risk at baseline based on a health profile had a significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular disease (OR 2.1) compared to low-risk men after 24 years.
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