Cerebrospinal fluid haemoglobin as a monitoring biomarker for secondary brain injury after aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage: prospective international multicentre validation study (HeMoVal).

Objectives To validate whether cerebrospinal fluid oxyhaemoglobin (CSF-Hb), measured from external ventricular or lumbar drains, is associated with secondary brain injury (SAH-SBI) after aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) and to assess its value as a real-time monitoring biomarker.Design Pre-registered multicentre prospective observational cohort study.Setting Eight neurosurgical tertiary centres in Switzerland, Germany and Austria between August 2021 and June 2024.Participants 366 patients with aSAH (mean age 58 years; 65% women). Of these, 260 provided cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples via external ventricular drain (EVD; 2467 samples, median 10 days per patient) and 66 via lumbar drain (LD; 379 samples, median 6 days).Interventions Daily CSF samples were collected via EVD or LD from day 1 to day 14 after haemorrhage; no therapeutic interventions were tested.Main Outcome Measures CSF-Hb and its metabolites were analysed post hoc in a blinded manner. The primary outcome was SAH-SBI, defined as a composite of angiographic vasospasm (aVSP), delayed cerebral ischaemia (DCI) and delayed ischaemic neurological deficits (DIND), assessed daily over 14 days. Secondary outcomes included temporal CSF-Hb profiles and associations with aneurysm location, haematoma volume, intraventricular haemorrhage, chronic hydrocephalus and 3 month functional outcome.Results CSF-Hb showed a delayed peak pattern: concentrations were low after aSAH, rose to a maximum on day 10 (EVD-derived CSF-Hb median 11.3 µM, IQR 2.64 to 25.90) and then declined. Larger haematoma volume (p<0.001) and intraventricular haemorrhage (p<0.001) were associated with higher EVD-derived CSF-Hb. SAH-SBI occurred in 209/366 patients (57%). Daily EVD-derived CSF-Hb showed no association with SAH-SBI (p=0.25) and only poor prognostic potential for same-day SAH-SBI (area under the curve 0.59, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.63), with substantial between-centre heterogeneity. In a post-hoc exploratory analysis, higher CSF methaemoglobin showed a positive point-estimate of association with SAH-SBI (OR 1.18 per log(µM), 95% CI 1.02 to 1.36). Higher acute-phase EVD-derived CSF-Hb was associated with chronic hydrocephalus and a poor 3 month functional outcome. Catheter-related infection rates were low (2.2%).Conclusions In this preregistered multicentre validation study, EVD-derived CSF-Hb did not perform as a robust real-time monitoring biomarker for SAH-SBI, showing limited same-day discrimination and substantial between-centre heterogeneity. These findings argue against clinical implementation of CSF-Hb point-measurement as a single-parameter biomarker. Higher CSF methaemoglobin was associated with SAH-SBI; this hypothesis-generating observation requires prospective confirmation and motivates continued investigation of haemolysis-related pathways. Future work using the HeMoVal biobank will apply multi-marker, pathway-level analyses to define haemolysis-related biomarker signatures and provide a platform for robust external validation of future candidates.Trial Registration Number NCT04998370.