LAB #4588 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 31.5% to 33.0% (+1.4pp, — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 31.5% to 33.0% (+1.4pp, n=1914) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a minimum 5-confirmation filter would have rejected the three currently open/rejected trades (USDCHF LONG, EURJPY SHORT, AUDUSD LONG) — all of which are unconfirmed and unresolved. Among the seven closed trades, none would have been filtered, so the 4W/3L record stands unchanged. The immediate PnL delta is therefore zero on closed trades, but the filter removes three open positions whose outcomes are unknown — meaning the live window offers no evidence of benefit, only a reduction in exposure. The claimed +1.4pp win-rate gain is not visible in this small sample. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a higher confirmation threshold typically reduces trade frequency and may improve win rate by skipping early, noise-driven entries — but it also risks missing fast breakouts where confirmation la Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com