LAB #4629 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 32.2% to 33.7% (+1.5pp, — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 32.2% to 33.7% (+1.5pp, n=1866) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Over the current 10-trade window, applying a minimum-5-confirmation filter would have rejected the three currently open/rejected trades (USDCHF LONG, EURJPY SHORT, AUDUSD LONG) — all of which are unconfirmed and thus excluded from the backtest's win-rate gain. The seven closed trades remain unaffected, so the realized win rate stays at 4/7 (57.1%) — no PnL delta in this window. The filter's +1.5pp improvement is entirely derived from historical trades that had fewer than 5 confirmations and lost; none of those appear here, so the live effect is zero for this sample. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, the filter would likely reduce trade frequency by roughly 15–20% (based on typical confirmation latency), while modestly improving win rate if the backtest's edge is real. However, the risk is that th Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com