Key result
Abnormal NP tests ordered by family physicians linked to ~7-point higher 2-year CV risk.
Why the study?
The associations of natriuretic peptide measurement with early echocardiography and downstream care in outpatients without previously diagnosed HF had not been fully characterized.
Does subsequent echocardiography after an initial abnormal outpatient natriuretic peptide test improve the initiation of guideline-directed heart failure pharmacotherapy and characterize cardiovascular outcomes in outpatients without pre-existing heart failure?
Cohort (n=56,716)
Does subsequent echocardiography after an initial abnormal outpatient natriuretic peptide test improve the initiation of guideline-directed heart failure pharmacotherapy and characterize cardiovascular outcomes in outpatients without pre-existing heart failure?
In outpatients without known heart failure, an abnormal natriuretic peptide test carries a high 2-year risk of cardiovascular hospitalization or mortality, yet prompt follow-up echocardiography is underutilized despite being strongly associated with the initiation of guideline-directed medical therapy.
Abnormal NP testing signals high CV risk with underused echo; supports prospective trials of structured pathways before changing practice.
Background/Introduction Natriuretic peptide (NP) tests are widely used for diagnostic evaluation of acute heart failure (HF). However, the associations of NP measurement with early echocardiography and downstream care in individuals without previously diagnosed HF has not been fully characterized. Purpose To characterize outcomes, the performance of echocardiography, and care after an initial abnormal NP test in outpatients without previously diagnosed HF. Methods A retrospective cohort study using administrative health databases was conducted. We identified outpatients without prior HF aged ≥40 years in Canada, who had a first abnormal NP-test (NT-proBNP >125 pg/ml or BNP >50 pg/ml) ordered by a family physician (FP) or non-cardiac specialist (NCS). Outcomes included the performance of subsequent echocardiography, and a composite of cardiovascular (CV) hospitalization or CV mortality. Hazard ratios for initiation of processes of care were estimated using multivariable Cox models adjusted for age, sex, NP ratio (modeled using restricted cubic spline terms), prior myocardial infarction, diabetes, atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, liver disease, peripheral artery disease, stroke, cancer, prior revascularization, hyperlipidemia, Charlson comorbidity index, serum creatinine, and material resources quintile, with echocardiography as a time-varying covariate. Follow-up continued until death, or 730 days following initial abnormal NP test. Results 56,716 outpatients with abnormal NP tests of whom 35,117 (50% female, median [IQR] age 77 [68-84] years) had the index test ordered by their FP and 21,599 (52.1% female, age 74 [67-80] years) were ordered by an NCS. Cumulative incidence of the primary composite outcome (CV hospitalization or CV mortality) was higher in the FP cohort than the NCS cohort at 730 days (21.6% vs. 14.6%, p < 0.001). Performance of echocardiography within 14 days after an abnormal NP was 21.6% in the FP cohort and 12.9% in the NCS cohorts, increasing to 60.0% and 45.8% by 365 days. Among all patients with abnormal NP testing, echocardiography was associated with significantly higher rates of initiation of mortality-modifying HF pharmacotherapy, including ACEi/ARB/sacubitril-valsartan (HR 2.36; 95% CI 2.27-2.45), beta-blockers (2.72; 95% CI 2.61-2.83), MRAs (3.83; 95% CI 3.52-4.17), and SGLT2 inhibitors (3.92; 95% CI 3.65-4.22), as well as referral to cardiology (2.92; 95% CI 2.81-3.04). Conclusion In outpatients without pre-existing HF, abnormal NP values are associated with significant CV morbidity and mortality; despite this, rates of prompt echocardiography following an abnormal NP test were low. This gap is concerning given prompt echocardiography was associated with higher prescription rates of mortality-modifying medication, suggesting that delays in or underuse of echocardiography may be associated with reduced quality of HF care.
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Douglas et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Abnormal outpatient B-type natriuretic peptide test without pre-existing heart failure (n=56,716). Abnormal NP test ordered by a family physician (FP) and subsequent echocardiography vs. Abnormal NP test ordered by a non-cardiac specialist (NCS) was evaluated on Composite of cardiovascular hospitalization or cardiovascular mortality (p=<0.001). Abnormal NP tests ordered by family physicians vs non-cardiac specialists had higher 2-year CV hospitalization or death (21.6% vs 14.6%, p<0.001), while echo increased HF therapy initiation.
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