Key result
Preprocedural HELT-E2S2 score ≥2 is linked to ~3-fold higher 3-year MACE risk after EVT.
Why the study?
The HELT-E2S2 score predicts ischemic stroke in atrial fibrillation and mortality in heart failure, but its prognostic role in patients with lower extremity artery disease undergoing endovascular treatment remained unclear.
Does a higher preprocedural HELT-E2S2 score (≥2) predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at 3 years in patients with symptomatic iliofemoral artery disease undergoing endovascular treatment?
Cohort (n=240)
Does a higher preprocedural HELT-E2S2 score (≥2) predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at 3 years in patients with symptomatic iliofemoral artery disease undergoing endovascular treatment?
A preprocedural HELT-E2S2 score ≥2 independently identifies patients at a three-fold higher risk of 3-year major adverse cardiovascular events following endovascular therapy for symptomatic iliofemoral artery disease, though it does not predict major adverse limb events.
May support pre-EVT risk stratification in LEAD; extends HELT-E2S2 utility beyond AF/HF but leaves practice change open.
Background The HELT-E2S2 score was originally developed to predict ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation and has also demonstrated prognostic value for mortality in patients with heart failure. However, its role in patients with lower extremity artery disease (LEAD) undergoing endovascular treatment (EVT) remains unclear. Purpose To evaluate whether the HELT-E2S2 score identifies high-risk patients and predicts clinical outcomes after EVT for symptomatic iliofemoral artery disease. Methods We retrospectively analyzed 240 consecutive patients who underwent EVT between April 2018 and December 2022. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke at 3 years. The secondary endpoint was major adverse limb events (MALE), defined as major amputation or target vessel revascularization. Patients were stratified into lower (<2) and higher (≥2) score groups. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for clinically relevant covariates were constructed. Results The mean age was 76.9±10.0 years, and 65.4% were male. Higher-score patients more frequently had non-ambulatory status, prior cerebrovascular disease, and chronic limb-threatening ischemia, reflecting a greater systemic disease burden. During 3-year follow-up, 33 first MACE events occurred (2 in the lower-score group vs. 31 in the higher-score group), including 19 deaths (0 vs. 19), 4 nonfatal myocardial infarctions (0 vs. 4), and 10 nonfatal strokes (2 vs. 8). Three-year freedom from MACE was significantly lower in the higher-score group compared with the lower-score group in the overall cohort and across clinical subgroups, including claudication and ischemic ulcer (80.0% vs. 98.9%, p=0.0002; 80.9% vs. 100%, p=0.012; 59.0% vs. 94.4%, p=0.015, respectively). MALE occurred in 56 patients (25 vs. 31), with no significant difference in 3-year freedom from MALE between groups (68.6% vs. 66.2%, log-rank p=0.70). When cardiovascular and limb events were combined (MACLE), 85 first events were observed (26 vs. 59), and 3-year event-free survival was significantly lower in the higher-score group (49.5% vs. 64.3%, p=0.019). On multivariable analysis, a higher HELT-E2S2 score independently predicted MACE (hazard ratio 3.05, 95% CI 1.22–7.63, p=0.018). Conclusions Preprocedural HELT-E2S2 scoring provides a simple and clinically relevant approach to identify patients at increased cardiovascular risk after EVT for LEAD. This readily available score may facilitate risk-guided management and closer surveillance in high-risk patients.
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Kawamura et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Symptomatic iliofemoral lower extremity artery disease (LEAD) undergoing endovascular treatment (EVT) (n=240). Higher preprocedural HELT-E2S2 score (≥2) vs. Lower preprocedural HELT-E2S2 score (<2) was evaluated on Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE: all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke) at 3 years (freedom from MACE reported as 80.0% vs 98.9%) (HR 3.05, 95% CI 1.22-7.63, p=0.018). A preprocedural HELT-E2S2 score ≥2 independently predicted 3-year MACE after EVT for lower extremity artery disease (HR 3.05; 95% CI 1.22–7.63; p=0.018).
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