Key result
Elevated 1-hour GDF-15 linked to ~71% higher 1-year recurrent ischemic events in NSTE-ACS.
Why the study?
Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has emerged as a prognostic biomarker in patients with NSTE-ACS, prompting evaluation of its temporal evolution in the acute phase and its association with recurrent ischemic events.
Does serial measurement of GDF-15 (specifically a 1-hour increase) predict recurrent ischemic events at 1 year in patients presenting with NSTE-ACS?
Cohort (n=92)
Blinded laboratory outcome assessment
No
Does serial measurement of GDF-15 (specifically a 1-hour increase) predict recurrent ischemic events at 1 year in patients presenting with NSTE-ACS?
In patients with NSTE-ACS, an increase in GDF-15 levels 1 hour after admission independently predicts 1-year recurrent ischemic events and adds incremental prognostic value beyond traditional clinical and biochemical markers.
Background Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has emerged as a prognostic biomarker in patients with non-ST-segment-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). Our study evaluated the temporal evolution of GDF-15 in the acute phase and its association with recurrent ischemic events. Methods Serum samples were collected from patients with NSTE-ACS at admission and at 1 and 3 hours after admission. GDF-15 levels, along with other prognostic biomarkers, NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT, were measured. Spearman’s rank-correlation coefficients and linear regression models were used to identify the variables associated with GDF-15 levels at admission and with their temporal changes. Associations between GDF-15 and clinical outcomes were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models. To assess incremental prognostic value, the areas under the curve (AUC) were calculated for each model. Results GDF-15 levels showed a slight increasing trend within 3 hours of admission. The 1-hour change in GDF-15 was correlated with hs-cTnT changes. Increased 1-hour GDF-15 levels, compared with the admission levels, were associated with a higher risk of recurrent ischemic events during the 1-year follow-up (1.9% vs. 17.5%, P =0.019) and were an independent predictor after adjusting for established clinical variables and biomarkers (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.71 [1.28 to 228.75], P =0.03). Furthermore, serial measurements of GDF-15 provided additional prognostic information beyond traditional risk factors. Conclusions Serial measurements of GDF-15 of NSTE-ACS patients provided independent and incremental prognostic value for predicting recurrent ischemic events. These findings support the potential utility of GDF-15 as a dynamic biomarker for early risk stratification in the acute management of NSTE-ACS.
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Chen et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Non-ST-Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome (NSTE-ACS) (n=92). Increased 1-hour Growth Differentiation Factor-15 (GDF-15) level (1-hour change > 0) vs. Non-increased 1-hour GDF-15 level (1-hour change <= 0) was evaluated on Recurrent ischemic events (myocardial infarction and unstable angina leading to hospitalization) at 1 year (HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.28 to 228.75, p=0.03). Increased 1-hour GDF-15 levels independently predicted higher 1-year recurrent ischemic events in NSTE-ACS patients (17.5% vs 1.9%; adjusted HR 1.71, P=0.03).
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