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Counts of migrating birds potentially could be used to detect population change. This technique would be especially valuable for tracking species poorly monitored by breeding and wintering season counts, such as boreal-nesting songbirds that winter in the tropics. Numbers of migrants counted vary with weather and other factors, however, and we need to demonstrate that migration counts give accurate results. Population trends for 1979-91 were calculated for 13 songbird species captured during autumn mist netting at 2 sites in southern Michigan. All species were northern-nesters occurring at the study sites only as transients. Annual indices of abundance were derived from a multiple regression of daily number of newly-captured birds on independent variables for date, weather, moon phase and year. Trends in the annual capture indices were significantly and positively correlated with trends in breeding bird survey (BBS) data from presumed breeding grounds in Michigan and Ontario, and were of similar magnitude. The results suggest that intensive, standardized netting can be a useful population monitoring tool.
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Dunn et al. (1997) studied this question.
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