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Against the backdrop of the European Union's ongoing harmonisation of professional service markets and the strengthening of anti-money laundering frameworks, this study examines how mandatory professional licensing functions as a market regulation mechanism in the outsourced accounting sector. The study develops a theoretical and conceptual model identifying the causal chain through which regulatory intervention generates compliance costs that operate as entry barriers, produce quality signalling effects, drive pricing adjustments, consolidate the provider market, and generate regulatory avoidance behaviour. Drawing on institutional theory, service quality frameworks, and market consolidation theory, the study analyses how licensing reshapes professional service markets in the European economic space. A longitudinal quasi-experimental before-after design is applied to comprehensive sectoral data spanning 2005–2025, covering 3,567 licensed providers, turnover trends, and comparative institutional evidence from 27 EU member states. Descriptive statistics and theoretical triangulation connect observed licensing effects with SERVQUAL dimensions, institutional isomorphism, and market consolidation theory. Following mandatory licensing in troduced in 2021–2023 in Latvia, the number of providers declined by 14.6% by 2025, while sector turnover grew by approximately 13% annually. By March 2025, 86% of providers had obtained licences. Licensing strengthened quality signalling and encouraged client migration toward licensed providers, while also contributing to indicative price increases of approximately 10% to 15%, regulatory avoidance through NACE code switching, and disproportionate compliance pressure on micro-enterprises. The study adds original empirical evidence from an emerging EU market and offers policy recommendations to improve enforcement, professional education, and regulatory effectiveness in the European economic space.
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Sniķere-Kļitko et al. (2026) studied this question.
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