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New federal funding rules make SNAP payment accuracy a direct state budget concern. This paper examines official Hawaii error rates, the enacted funding formula, and state budget explanations. Hawaii's published payment error rate increased from 6.68 percent in federal fiscal year 2024 to 10.92 percent in fiscal year 2025. Payment error includes both overpayments and underpayments. It is not a measure of proven fraud. Under the enacted schedule, states can face benefit cost shares determined by specified error rate bands, alongside a separate increase in their share of administrative expenses. The initial benefit formula allows a choice between specified reporting years and includes special implementation delays. Hawaii's historical rate therefore cannot be treated as a final invoice. The paper explains the distinction between a measured error, a possible future state obligation, and a household's individual responsibility. It recommends budget scenarios, published correction results, and equal attention to access and accuracy. No precise Hawaii dollar liability is estimated because the necessary final inputs were not established in this review.
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Jeremy Koski (2026) studied this question.
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