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August 7, 2025Open Access

Evaluation of annual trends in carbon cycle variables simulated by CMIP6 Earth system models in China

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Authors

ZLZiyang LiAZAnzhou ZhaoLZLidong Zou

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Overview

Evaluation shows CMIP6 models misestimate LAI, GPP, and NEP trends in China, indicating model improvement needed.

Key Points

  • Significant uncertainties exist in LAI, NPP, and LST trends captured by CMIP6 models.
  • GPP and NEP trends simulated by models were lower than observations, with discrepancies noted.
  • Widespread misestimation of carbon cycle variables was evident across most regions in China.
  • Inadequate model responsiveness to environmental forces hampers accurate predictions of ecosystem functions.

Cite This Study

Li et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/689a0fa0e6551bb0af8d19cfhttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3169
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