The U.S.-China Stability-Instability Paradox: Limited War in East Asia

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Limited conventional war is more probable in maritime East Asia than in Cold War Europe, indicating potential conflict risks.
Integrating geography and technology, the appeal of the stability-instability paradox is examined in U.S.-China relations.
The article reveals contrasting strategies for Taiwan, weighing U.S. escalation dominance against potential retrenchment.
Strategic nuclear stability's impact on conflict likelihood depends on perceptions of limiting warfare between involved parties.

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Analysis highlights the possibility of limited nuclear war in East Asia, suggesting technology and geography influence outcomes.

Hiim et al. (2025) studied this question.

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