Research on Commuting Mode Split Model Based on Dominant Transportation Distance

Conventional commuting mode split models are characterized by inherent limitations in dynamic adaptability, primarily due to persistent dependence on periodic survey data with significant temporal gaps. A dominant transportation distance-based modeling framework for commuting mode choice is proposed, formalizing a generalized cost function. Through the application of random utility theory, probability density curves are generated to quantify mode-specific dominant distance ranges across three demographic groups: car-owning households, non-car households, and collective households. Empirical validation was conducted using Dongguan as a case study, with model parameters calibrated against 2015 resident travel survey data. Parameter updates are dynamically executed through the integration of big data sources (e.g., mobile signaling and LBS). Successful implementation has been achieved in maintaining Dongguan’s transportation models during the 2021 and 2023 iterations.