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September 10, 2025Cogent Economics & FinanceOpen Access

Public debt sustainability in Tanzania: a non-linear analysis of fiscal and monetary policy interactions

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Authors

EMEnock MwakalilaSMSeif Muba

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Overview

This study demonstrates how public debt affects macroeconomic stability in Tanzania, highlighting fiscal and monetary policy interactions.

Key Points

  • Public debt below a critical threshold supports economic growth, yet exceeding it leads to instability with high inflation.
  • A threshold vector autoregressive model reveals significant shifts in macroeconomic indicators based on debt levels during 2000-2023.
  • The analysis indicates that maintaining public debt within sustainable limits is crucial for economic resilience in Tanzania.
  • Recommendations include improving fiscal discipline and setting a clear debt ceiling to enhance monetary-fiscal coordination.

Cite This Study

Mwakalila et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68c18f469b7b07f3a06162b2https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2025.2554299
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