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September 26, 2025

Conflict Hotspot Trajectories in Somalia from 2015-2023: Descriptive Spatial Diagnostics to Inform Measles Program Monitoring

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JDJohn Kwame Duah

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Overview

Descriptive spatial analysis identified persistent conflict hotspots in Somalia, suggesting targeted interventions.

Key Points

  • Conflict hotspots in Somalia increased from 5.4% in 2015 to 10.8% in 2023, showing significant spatial clustering.
  • Moran's I reported annual clustering of conflicts, indicating areas of persistent violence and humanitarian challenges.
  • Using the ACLED dataset, geocoded events were analyzed to assess local clustering and document hotspots in districts.
  • The methods provide a reproducible approach for monitoring conflict distribution, highlighting specific problem areas.

Cite This Study

John Kwame Duah (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68d6c67db1249cec298b2523https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7235155/v2
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