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This study aims to identify the key determinants of Saudi Arabia's date exports from 1990 to 2023 using ARDL modeling techniques.

Determinants of Saudi Arabia’s date exports: an ARDL analysis of long and short-run dynamics (1990–2023)

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This analysis reveals key factors affecting Saudi date exports, highlighting the roles of production and trade policies.

This study aims to identify the key determinants of Saudi Arabia's date exports from 1990 to 2023 using ARDL modeling techniques.
Utilized Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and Error Correction Model (ECM) for analysis.
Examined data from 1990 to 2023, focusing on domestic date production and export prices.
Conducted unit root tests to ensure variable integration, supporting ARDL application.
Domestic date production significantly boosts exports in the long run.
Cultivated area shows a negative but insignificant effect on exports.
Date export price and trade openness significantly influence long-run export levels.
In the short run, domestic production negatively impacts exports, while world production positively affects them.
The error correction factor indicates a rapid return to long-term equilibrium in date exports.

Emad S. Aljohani (2026) studied this question.

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