Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Kanyin Liane Ong; Lauryn K Stafford; Susan A. McLaughlin; Edward J. Boyko; Dan J. Stein; Amanda Smith; Bronte Dalton; J Duprey; Jessica A Cruz; Hailey Hagins; Paulina A Lindstedt; Amirali Aali; Yohannes Habtegiorgis Abate; Melsew Dagne Abate; Mohammadreza Abbasian; Zeinab Abbasi-Kangevari; Mohsen Abbasi‐Kangevari; Samar Abd ElHafeez; Rami Abd‐Rabu; Deldar Morad Abdulah; Abu Yousuf Md Abdullah; Vida Abedi; Hassan Abidi; Richard Gyan Aboagye; Hassan Abolhassani; Eman Abu‐Gharbieh; Ahmed Abu‐Zaid; Tigist Demssew Adane; Denberu Eshetie; Isaac Yeboah Addo; Oyelola A. Adegboye; Victor Adekanmbi; Victor Abiola Adepoju; Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani; Rotimi Felix Afolabi; Gina Agarwal; Zahra Babaei Aghdam; Marcela Agudelo‐Botero; Constanza Elizabeth Aguilera Arriagada; Williams Agyemang‐Duah; Bright Opoku Ahinkorah; Danish Ahmad; Rizwan Ahmad; Sajjad Ahmad; Aqeel Ahmad; Ali Ahmadi; Keivan Ahmadi; Ayman Ahmed; Ali Ahmed; Luai A. Ahmed; Syed Anees Ahmed; Marjan Ajami; Rufus Akinyemi; Hanadi Al Hamad; Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan; Tareq Mohammed Ali AL-Ahdal; Tariq A. Alalwan; Ziyad Al‐Aly; Mohammad T AlBataineh; Jacqueline Elizabeth Alcalde‐Rabanal; Sharifullah Alemi; Hassam Ali; Tahereh Alinia; Syed Mohamed Aljunid; Sami Almustanyir; Rajaa Al‐Raddadi; Nelson Alvis‐Guzmán; Firehiwot Amare; Edward Kwabena Ameyaw; Sohrab Amiri; Ganiyu Adeniyi Amusa; Cătălina Liliana Andrei; Ranjit Mohan Anjana; Adnan Ansar; Golnoosh Ansari; Alireza Ansari‐Moghaddam; Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor; Jalal Arabloo; Aleksandr Y. Aravkin; Demelash Areda; Hidayat Arifin; Mesay Arkew; Benedetta Armocida; Johan Ärnlöv; Anton A Artamonov; Judie Arulappan; Raphael Taiwo Aruleba; Ashokan Arumugam; Zahra Aryan; Mulu Tiruneh; Mohammad Asghari Jafarabadi; Elaheh Askari; Daniel Asmelash; Thomas Astell‐Burt; Mohammad Athar; Seyyed Shamsadin Athari; Maha Atout; Leticia Ávila‐Burgos; Ahmed Awaisu; Sina Azadnajafabad

doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(23)01301-6

June 23, 2023The LancetOpen Access

Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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Key Points

Quantify global, regional, and national diabetes burden from 1990 to 2021 and forecast future prevalence through 2050 within the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 framework.
Synthesized epidemiological data across 204 countries and territories to estimate diabetes prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years from 1990 through 2021.
Applied statistical modeling and demographic forecasting algorithms to project diabetes prevalence trends globally and regionally through 2050.
Diabetes burden increased substantially worldwide from 1990 to 2021 across nearly all geographic regions and demographic cohorts.
Prevalence projections forecast sharp escalations in diabetes cases through 2050, primarily driven by population aging and rising levels of high body-mass index.

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Implication

Systematic analysis reveals escalating global diabetes burden and prevalence projections through 2050, highlighting urgent needs for worldwide metabolic disease interventions.

Abstract

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

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Ong et al. (2023) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d72a68a98988943d563c52 https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(23)01301-6

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Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Key Points

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Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Key Points

No abstract yet

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Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

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