Key result
Highest baseline cardiothoracic ratio quartile linked to ~3-fold higher all-cause mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients.
Why the study?
Patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis experience high mortality, and the prognostic value of the cardiothoracic ratio in this population remains unclear due to limited evidence.
Does a high baseline cardiothoracic ratio predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis?
Cohort (n=972)
Yes
Does a high baseline cardiothoracic ratio predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis?
Effect estimate: HR 3.01 (95% CI 1.85-5.04)
An elevated baseline cardiothoracic ratio is a strong, independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis, serving as a simple tool for risk stratification.
High CTR may aid PD risk stratification; leaves open actionability pending prospective validation before adoption.
Background Patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) experience exceptionally high mortality. While the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR), a simple radiographic measure, has prognostic value in hemodialysis, its role in PD is unclear because of limited evidence. We hypothesized that a high baseline CTR is independently associated with mortality in patients undergoing PD. Methods We conducted a multicenter cohort study using data from the Fukuoka Peritoneal Dialysis Registry study. Of 1217 patients who participated in the study between 2011 and 2020, 972 with a baseline CTR were included. The CTR was categorized into sex-specific quartiles. The primary and secondary outcomes were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results During a median follow-up of 731 days, 156 (16.0%) patients died, including 54 (5.6%) from cardiovascular causes. After multivariable adjustment, patients in the highest CTR quartile had significantly elevated risks of all-cause mortality (HR, 3.01; 95% CI, 1.85–5.04) and cardiovascular mortality (HR, 5.44; 95% CI, 2.17–13.59) compared with the lowest quartile. Each 1-standard deviation increase in the CTR was also associated with a higher risk of all-cause (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.20–1.65) and cardiovascular mortality (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.27–2.23). The findings were consistent in sensitivity analyses. Conclusions An elevated baseline CTR is an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients undergoing PD. This simple, readily available measure may be a useful tool for risk stratification in this high-risk population.
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Okamura et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Peritoneal dialysis (n=972). Highest cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) quartile vs. Lowest CTR quartile was evaluated on All-cause mortality (HR 3.01, 95% CI 1.85-5.04). In patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis, the highest baseline cardiothoracic ratio quartile was associated with a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 3.01; 95% CI 1.85-5.04).
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