What question did this study set out to answer?

The study aims to identify and analyze changes in land use and their impact on flood risk in the Aq-Qala Basin.

Forecasting Land Use Change Trends and Their Impact on Flood Vulnerability: A Case Study of the Aq‐Qala Basin, Iran

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Randomized trial identifies land use changes affecting flood vulnerability in the Aq-Qala Basin, suggesting integrated management policies.

The study aims to identify and analyze changes in land use and their impact on flood risk in the Aq-Qala Basin.
Descriptive–analytical approach utilizing Sentinel satellite imagery from 2012 to 2022
Image preprocessing with geometric and radiometric corrections
Land use classification using machine learning algorithms in ArcGIS Pro and Python
Significant expansion of agricultural land by approximately 23,000 hectares from 2012 to 2022
Decline of water bodies by 6,500 hectares, from 8,300 hectares in 2012 to 1,800 hectares in 2022
Projections indicate agricultural land will exceed 50% of the total area by 2030, intensifying flood risks

Hejazizadeh et al. (2026) studied this question.

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Randomized trial identifies land use changes affecting flood vulnerability in the Aq-Qala Basin, suggesting integrated management policies.