Predicting the Propensity of Atrial Cardiopathy and Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS)

Background There is still a significant population of patients with embolic stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) whose specific attributable cause of the stroke remains unknown. Objectives Our research aimed to assess clinical, electrocardiogram, laboratory, and echocardiographic parameters that may predict the propensity of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). Methods We enrolled seventy-five ESUS patients who were in sinus rhythm at the time of stroke diagnosis to undergo in-hospital 7-day Holter monitoring, testing for Pro-BNP, and a standard echocardiographic examination. For statistical analysis, a P-value < 0.05 was considered significant. Results The average age of the 75 ESUS patients was 58 years old. 60% of the patients were male, and the most prevalent concomitant condition was hypertension (53.3%). Forty patients had atrial cardiopathy, and 15 patients had PAF episodes. Hypertension and the E/e- > 12 were independent predictors of atrial cardiopathy, with p-values of 0.001 and 0.02, respectively. In patients with atrial cardiopathy, multivariable regression analysis was performed; PTFV > 5000 Mv.ms, LA volume index > 34 ml/m2, and ejection fraction < 45% were significant independent predictors of AF with significant p values of 0.001, < 0.001, and 0.001 respectively. Conclusions In ESUS patients, atrial cardiopathy was prevalent. Hypertension and an E/e- ratio greater than 12 were independent predictors for it. Multivariable regression analysis identified PTFV1 > 5000 mV.ms, LA volume index > 34 ml/m2, and ejection fraction < 45% as independent predictors for new-onset atrial fibrillation.