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November 28, 2017Journal of Interventional CardiologyOpen Access

Prediction of no‐reflow and major adverse cardiovascular events with a new scoring system in STEMI patients

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Key result

New 7-variable risk score predicts no-reflow in STEMI PCI with an AUC of ~0.81.

  • AUC 0.809
  • 95% CI 0.772-0.842
  • P<0.001
  • n=1,147

Why the study?

Can a new scoring system accurately predict no-reflow and 1-year major adverse cardiovascular events in STEMI patients undergoing PCI?

Population

1,147 consecutive STEMI patients who underwent PCI

Design

Cohort

Follow-up

1-year

Authors

ABAdil BayramoğluHTHakan TaşolarAKAhmet Kaya

Discussion

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Overview

May support pre-PCI risk stratification in STEMI; hypothesis-generating pending external validation and outcome trials.

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=1,147)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Can a new scoring system accurately predict no-reflow and 1-year major adverse cardiovascular events in STEMI patients undergoing PCI?

P
Population
1,147 consecutive STEMI patients who underwent PCI (515 in derivation cohort, 632 in external validation cohort from another center)
I
Intervention
A new 7-variable scoring system (age, EF ≤40, Syntax score ≥22, stent length ≥20, thrombus grade ≥4, Killip class ≥3, and pain-balloon time ≥4 h) to predict no-reflow
O
Outcome
Prediction of no-reflow and correlation with 1-year major adverse cardiac eventssurrogate

Main Result

Effect estimate: AUC 0.809 (95% CI 0.772-0.842)

p-value: p=< 0.001

A novel 7-variable risk score can effectively predict the development of no-reflow in STEMI patients undergoing PCI, potentially guiding pre-procedural management.

Cite This Study

Bayramoğlu et al. (2017) conducted an observational in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) (n=1,147). New risk scoring system for predicting no-reflow was evaluated on Prediction of no-reflow (AUC 0.809, 95% CI 0.772-0.842, p=< 0.001). A new 7-variable risk score successfully predicted no-reflow in STEMI patients undergoing PCI, achieving an AUC of 0.809 (95% CI 0.772-0.842; P<0.001) in the derivation cohort.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0f378e28dd8f49a2bdc862https://doi.org/10.1111/joic.12463
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Effects of no-reflow phenomenon on ventricular systolic synchrony in patients with acute anterior myocardial infarction after percutaneous coronary intervention2016 · 11 citations
  2. 2The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Trial1985 · 3,191 citations
  3. 3Predictors of no- reflow during primary angioplasty for acute myocardial infarction, from Medical College Hospital, Trivandrum2017 · 40 citations
  4. 45-Year Prognostic Value of No-Reflow Phenomenon After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction2010 · 476 citations
  5. 5Predictors and clinical significance of angiographically detected distal embolization after primary percutaneous coronary interventions2007 · 18 citations