Key result
Worsening renal function during AHF hospitalization predicts ~106% higher 60-day death or readmission risk.
Why the study?
Does worsening renal function predict death or readmission in younger, non-ischaemic acute heart failure patients in Africa?
Cohort (n=1,006)
Yes
Does worsening renal function predict death or readmission in younger, non-ischaemic acute heart failure patients in Africa?
Effect estimate: HR 2.06 (95% CI 1.10-3.38)
p-value: p=0.023
In younger, predominantly non-ischaemic acute heart failure patients in Africa, worsening renal function is less prevalent than in Western cohorts but remains a strong independent predictor of death and readmission.
Worsening renal function may aid risk stratification in African acute HF; extends Western observations to younger non-ischaemic cohorts but remains hypothesis-generating.
AIMS: In Western countries with typically elderly ischaemic acute heart failure patients, predictors and clinical outcome of renal dysfunction and worsening renal function are well described. However, the prevalence, predictors and clinical outcome of renal dysfunction in younger, mainly hypertensive acute heart failure patients from Africa, have not been described. METHODS AND RESULTS: From 1006 patients enrolled in the sub-Saharan Africa Survey of Heart Failure (THESUS-HF), renal function was determined by the estimated glomerular filtration rate using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) formula. Worsening renal function was defined as an increase in creatinine ≤0.3 mg/dL (26.5 µmol/L) from baseline to day 7/discharge. The mean (SD) age of the patients was 52.4 (18.2) years, 481 (50.8%) were women and the predominant race was black African [932 of 946 (98.5%)]. Heart failure was most commonly a result of hypertension (n = 363, 39.5%) and only 7.8% had ischaemic heart failure. At hospital admission, 289 patients (30.6%) had an estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤60 ml/min.1.73 m2 . Worsening renal function during hospitalization was detected in 53 (9.8 %) of 543 patients with a follow-up creatinine value, and was independently associated with the Western sub-Saharan region, body mass index, and the presence of rales. Worsening renal function was an independent predictor of death or readmission over 60 days [multivariable hazard ratio = 2.06 (1.10, 3.38); P = 0.023] and all-cause death over 180 days [multivariable hazard ratio =1.92 (1.08, 3.38); P = 0.025]. CONCLUSIONS: Renal dysfunction is also prevalent in younger non-ischaemic acute heart failure patients in Africa, but worsening renal function is less prevalent and has different predictors compared with Western cohorts. Nevertheless, worsening renal function is strongly and independently related with clinical outcome.
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Sani et al. (2014) conducted a cohort in Acute Heart Failure (n=1,006). Worsening renal function vs. No worsening renal function was evaluated on Death or readmission over 60 days (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.10-3.38, p=0.023). Worsening renal function during hospitalization for acute heart failure independently predicted death or readmission over 60 days (HR 2.06; 95% CI 1.10-3.38; P=0.023).
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