What question did this study set out to answer?

To assess how the Chinese public evaluates military and diplomatic policy options toward Taiwan amid intensifying geopolitical competition.

May 14, 2023Journal of Contemporary China

Assessing Public Support for (Non)Peaceful Unification with Taiwan: Evidence from a Nationwide Survey in China

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Authors

ALAdam LiuNational University of Singapore XLXiaojun LiRutgers, The State University of New Jersey

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Implication

Nationwide survey reveals slim majority support for armed unification in Chinese citizens, indicating strong deterrence from perceived economic and geopolitical costs.

Key Points

To assess how the Chinese public evaluates military and diplomatic policy options toward Taiwan amid intensifying geopolitical competition.
Administered a nationwide public opinion survey in China querying preferences across armed unification, small-scale warfare, diplomatic coercion, and the status quo.
Conducted regression and subgroup analyses to evaluate the influence of nationalism, peer pressure, anticipated conflict costs, and US intervention risks on policy preferences.
Armed unification garnered 55% support among respondents, matching approval rates for less aggressive strategies like coercion or maintaining the status quo.
Only 1% of respondents rejected all alternative options in favor of armed unification exclusively.
Support for armed intervention was positively associated with nationalism and peer pressure, but significantly reduced by concerns regarding economic damage, casualties, and US military involvement.

Cite This Study

Liu et al. (2023) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a153b1eb03a896dfa81fdca https://doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2023.2209524

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Implication

Nationwide survey reveals slim majority support for armed unification in Chinese citizens, indicating strong deterrence from perceived economic and geopolitical costs.

Assessing Public Support for (Non)Peaceful Unification with Taiwan: Evidence from a Nationwide Survey in China

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Assessing Public Support for (Non)Peaceful Unification with Taiwan: Evidence from a Nationwide Survey in China

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

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