What question did this study set out to answer?

To evaluate how vulnerable Siberian larch populations are to future climate change using a genomic offset framework.

June 19, 2026ForestsOpen Access

Genomic Offset Reveals Siberian Larch (Larix sibirica L.) Populations Potentially Vulnerable to Future Climate

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Randomized trial evaluates climate vulnerability in Siberian larch populations, suggesting genomic strategies for conservation.

To evaluate how vulnerable Siberian larch populations are to future climate change using a genomic offset framework.
Analyzed 488 individuals from 37 populations across Russia using genome-wide SNP data
Conducted gene-environment association analyses with multiple statistical frameworks
Estimated genomic offset under various climate scenarios and time periods using climate models
Northern and high-altitude populations showed the highest genomic offset and vulnerability to maladaptation
Central and southern populations exhibited relatively low vulnerability levels
Temperature stability and the driest month's precipitation were key drivers of adaptive variation

Novikova et al. (2026) studied this question.

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