Change point analysis of the effects of the Russo-Ukrainian war on wheat flour prices in selected African countries

Using change point analysis, we have examined price changes in wheat flour prices as provided by the Food and Agricultural Organization Tool in Angola, Mauritania, Egypt, Namibia, and South Africa. Change point analysis confirms that prices had been on an upward trajectory even before the war in Eastern Europe. The war caused domestic prices to remain high. African countries must find a way to be better prepared for the next supply shock of this variety and magnitude.