Volume 6 - Article 7 | Pages 145–190 By Hans-Peter Kohler , José Antonio Ortega Osona In this paper we apply tempo-adjusted period parity progression ratios (Kohler and Ortega 2002) to Sweden, the Netherlands and Spain. These countries represent three distinct demographic patterns in contemporary Europe and are of particular interest for demographers. The goal of our analyses is to (a) describe past fertility trends in these countries in terms of synthetic cohorts and (b) project the level and distribution of completed fertility in cohorts who have not finished childbearing. Our analyses suggest that the most recent period fertility patterns in these countries do not imply substantial increases in childlessness even in younger cohorts. Moreover, if these patterns prevail in the future, young cohorts would reach completed fertility levels between 1.5-1.75. Tempo-Adjusted Period Parity Progression Measures, Fertility Postponement and Completed Cohort Fertility Volume 6 - Article 6 Marital dissolutions and changes in mental health: Evidence from rural Malawi Volume 44 - Article 41 Has contraceptive use at pregnancy an effect on the odds of spontaneous termination and induced abortion? Evidence from Demographic and Health Surveys Volume 44 - Article 37 Adolescent contraceptive use and its effects on fertility Volume 38 - Article 45 The population-level impact of public-sector antiretroviral therapy rollout on adult mortality in rural Malawi Volume 36 - Article 37 Intergenerational Transfers in the Era of HIV/AIDS: Evidence from Rural Malawi Volume 27 - Article 27 The Likoma Network Study: Context, data collection and initial results Volume 21 - Article 15 Subjective expectations in the context of HIV/AIDS in Malawi Volume 20 - Article 31 The Malawi Diffusion and Ideational Change Project 2004-06: Data collection, data quality, and analysis of attrition Volume 20 - Article 21 Overestimating HIV infection:: The construction and accuracy of subjective probabilities of HIV infection in rural Malawi Volume 20 - Article 6 A summary of Special Collection 1: Social Interactions and HIV/AIDS in Rural Africa Volume 9 - Article 12 The Fertility Pattern of Twins and the General Population Compared: Evidence from Danish Cohorts 1945-64 Volume 6 - Article 14 Attrition in Longitudinal Household Survey Data: Some Tests for Three Developing-Country Samples Volume 5 - Article 4 Frailty Modelling for Adult and Old Age Mortality: The Application of a Modified DeMoivre Hazard Function to Sex Differentials in Mortality Volume 3 - Article 8 Empirical Assessments of Social Networks, Fertility and Family Planning Programs: Nonlinearities and their Implications Volume 3 - Article 7 Gender Preferences for Children in Europe: Empirical Results from 17 FFS Countries Volume 2 - Article 1 Talking about AIDS: The influence of communication networks on individual risk perceptions of HIV/AIDS infection and favored protective behaviors in South Nyanza District, Kenya Special Collection 1 - Article 13 Introduction to "Research on Demographic Aspects of HIV/AIDS in Rural Africa" Special Collection 1 - Article 1 Educational pairings, partners’ economic resources, and second births in Austria Volume 55 - Article 26 | Keywords: Austria , couples , cure model , fertility , hypogamy , second birth Projection of family life courses of the descendants of immigrants in England and Wales using microsimulation Volume 55 - Article 24 | Keywords: England , family , fertility , fertility , microsimulation , migrants , migrants , partnership , population projection , second generation , third generation , United Kingdom , Wales The role of childlessness in changes in cohort fertility: Cross-national comparisons of countries in Europe, East Asia, and North America Volume 55 - Article 15 | Keywords: childlessness , cohort fertility , exact decomposition , low fertility , low fertility countries Trends in cohort fertility among Chinese women Volume 55 - Article 13 | Keywords: childlessness , children ever born , China , cohort fertility , decomposition , educational structure , parity , parity , postponement , women A personal perspective on the history of the World Fertility Survey and The Demographic and Health Surveys Program: An interview with Tom Pullum Volume 55 - Article 6 | Keywords: Demographic Health Surveys , fertility , fertility , health , mortality , surveys , World Fertility Survey
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Kohler et al. (2002) studied this question.
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