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November 17, 2023Developmental Child WelfareOpen Access

Gender-specific trajectories of offending from adolescence until age 40 among individuals with experience of out-of-home care: A national cohort study

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Authors

LBLars BrännströmStockholm UniversityAAAnna‐Karin AndershedÖrebro UniversityBVBo VinnerljungStockholm University

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Overview

Cohort study reveals elevated persistent offending alongside widespread desistance among individuals with out-of-home care history, highlighting the need for targeted early intervention.

Key Points

  • To examine gender-specific trajectories of criminal offending from adolescence up to age 40 among individuals with a history of out-of-home care, focusing on patterns of persistence versus desistance.
  • Analyzed population-based longitudinal register data of more than 740,000 Swedish men and women (approximately 2.5% with out-of-home care experience) followed until age 40.
  • Used group-based trajectory modelling and multinomial regression to evaluate offending pathways based on the timing and duration of foster-family and residential care placements.
  • Individuals with out-of-home care experience showed a substantially elevated likelihood of persistent offending compared to unplaced peers, with the greatest risk observed in men first placed as teenagers.
  • A majority of individuals with out-of-home care experience followed criminal trajectories characterized by desistance rather than persistent offending by adulthood.

Cite This Study

Brännström et al. (2023) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8152eed433ecbb06e1c009https://doi.org/10.1177/25161032231217265
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